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Australia’s Fertiliser Shock is a Strategic Turning Point: if we Choose it

02 July 2026 / WORDS BY Luke McClean

Since the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, Australia has imported more than one million tonnes of fertiliser, 240,000 tonnes of which has been underwritten by government in a scramble to keep Australian agriculture supplied. The figure is striking not only for its scale, but for what it reveals: a system that is functioning, but under significant pressure and at significant cost. It is a reminder that Australia’s fertiliser dependence is not theoretical. It is operational, exposed, and expensive. In this paper, Luke McClean looks at what it will take make this shock a strategic turning point for Australia.

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